Typhoon TALIM (LANNIE) Update Number 004





Issued at: 7:30 AM PhT (23:30 GMT) Wednesday 13 September 2017
Next update: 7:30 PM PhT (11:30 GMT) Wednesday, 13 September 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Typhoon TALIM (LANNIE) slowly gaining strength while moving fast, northwestward across the northernmost part of the North Philippine Sea…expected to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon.

This storm is expected to slow down and move west-northwest for the next 24 hours at a speed of 13 km/hr, and shall be passing very close Miyakojima this afternoon.  TALIM (LANNIE) will continue to intensify throughout the forecast period.

Where is TALIM (Lannie)? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, September 13…2100 GMT.  The cloud-filled eye was located over the Northernmost Part of the North Philippine Sea (near 24.4N 126.6E), about 513 km east of Taipei, Taiwan or 644 km northeast of Basco, Batanes.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 130 kph near the center…Gustiness: 155 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs) It was moving Northwest @ 25 kph, towards Miyakojima Islands
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) :: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected? Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
>> None.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ :: None.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies further as it moves out of PAR, entering the southern part of the East China Sea…about 285 km east-northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM Sept 14: 25.7N 124.3E @ 155kph].  Confidence Level:  HIGH.

FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Becomes a Category 3 Typhoon as it starts to recurve northward while over the East China Sea…about 330 km north-northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2AM Sept 15: 27.5N 123.4E @ 190kph].  Confidence Level:  HIGH.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 550 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 970 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 725 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 155 km from the center

Additional Distances Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Wed September 13, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 24.4º N Lat 126.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 601 km E of Taichung, Taiwan
Distance 2: 758 km ESE of Fuzhou, China
Distance 3: 803 km NE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 846 km NE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1237 km NNE of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines


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