TYPHOON TALIM (LANNIE) UPDATE NUMBER 003
Issued at: 6:45 PM PhT (10:45 GMT) Tuesday 12 September 2017
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday, 13 September 2017
|Current Status and Outlook||
TALIM (LANNIE) now a Typhoon as it races northwestward across the northern part of the North Philippine Sea…expected to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow evening (Sept 13).
This storm is expected to slow down and move west-northwest for the next 24 hours at a speed of 18 km/hr, and shall be over the northernmost part of the North Philippine Sea or approaching Ishigakijima by tomorrow afternoon (Sept 13). TALIM (LANNIE) will continue to intensify throughout the forecast period.
|Where is TALIM (Lannie)?||As of 5:00 PM PhT today, September 12…0900 GMT. The center was located over the Northern Part of the North Philippine Sea (near 22.9N 128.3E), about 705 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes or 724 km east-northeast of Taipei, Taiwan.|
|How strong is it?||
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 120 kph near the center…Gustiness: 150 kph.
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||It was moving Northwest @ 29 kph, towards Ishigakijima-Yaeyama Islands|
|Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)||:: None.|
|What Philippine areas will be most affected?||Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||:: None.|
|2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies into a Category 2 Typhoon as it approaches Ishigakijima…about 350 km east-southeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM Sept 13: 24.2N 124.9E @ 165kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Already outside of PAR as a Category 3 Typhoon…starts to recurve northward over the East China Sea…about 188 km northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM Sept 14: 26.3N 122.8E @ 180kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm Info||> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 450 mm [Light to Extreme]
> Minimum Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 595 km (Small)
> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 110 km from the center
|Additional Distances||Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Tue September 12, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 22.9º N Lat 128.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 790 km E of Taichung, Taiwan
Distance 2: 812 km ENE of Calayan Island, Cagayan
Distance 3: 857 km NE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 4: 903 km NE of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1199 km NE of Metro Manila
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines