Typhoon HAIMA (LAWIN) Final Update


Issued at: 7:15 PM PhT (11:15 GMT) Thursday 20 October 2016
Next update: N/A
Current Status Typhoon HAIMA (LAWIN) has moved out of the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it maintains its track and intensity while over the South China Sea.

This typhoon is no longer a threat to the country, but its easternmost outer rainbands will still bring occasional rains and gusty winds across La Union and Ilocos Provinces today.

*This is now the Final Update on this tropical cyclone


Where is “HAIMA”? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 20…1100 GMT.  The center was located along northern part of the South China Sea (near 19.4N 118.2E), about 286 km northwest of Laoag City, Cagayan or 526 km southeast of Hong Kong, China
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 155 kph near the center…Gustiness: 190 kph.
Where is it heading? It was moving Northwest @ 21 kph, towards Southern China.
What areas will be most affected? None
Storm Surge Info None
2-Day Forecast Outlook  

FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Preparing to make landfall over Guangdong Province, Southern China…just a strong Tropical Storm…about 112 km east-northeast of Hong Kong, China [2PM OCT 21: 22.6N 115.2E @ 105kph].Confidence LevelHIGH.

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipates into an area of low pressure while moving northeastward across the inner part of Eastern China…about 126 km north-northeast of Hong Kong, China [2PM OCT 22: 27.4N 116.2E @ 30kph]Confidence LevelLOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively…while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

3-Day Forecast Outlook N/A
Other Storm Info 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 450 mm [Moderate to Extreme]

Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)

Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 865 km (Medium)

Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):150 km from  the center.

Additional Distances Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Thu Oct 20, 2016
Location of Center/Eye: Near 19.4º N Lat 118.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 306 km NW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 2: 416 km WSW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 3: 471 km SSE of Shantou, China
Distance 4: 570 km SE of Macao, China
Distance 5: 626 km NNW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines


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