Typhoon MAN-YI (TOMAS) StormWatch No. 02

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TYPHOON MAN-YI (TOMAS) STORMWATCH NO. 02

Issued at: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Saturday 24 November 2018
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT), Sunday 25 November 2018
Current Status and Outlook Typhoon MAN-YI (TOMAS) struggling over the southeasternmost part of the North Philippine Sea as it drifts slowly northward, very near the eastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). This cyclone is forecast to turn west to west-northwestward and enter the PAR within the next 12 to 24 hours with no effects to the Philippine Islands, and will likely start losing strength due to dry-cold air intrusion within the next 2 to 3 days (Nov 26-27).
Where is MAN-YI? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, November 24…2100 GMT. The center was located very near the eastern border of the PAR (near 17.8°N 135.3°E), about 1,420 km east-northeast of Casiguran, Aurora or 1,429 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 160 kph near the center…Gustiness: 195 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs) Northward @ 16 km/hr, towards the North Philippine Sea.
Forecast Highlights
  • TY MAN-YI (TOMAS) is too far away to directly affect any part of the Philippines. 
  • This typhoon is expected to lose strength beginning Sunday (Nov 25) due to the approaching surge of cold air from the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan).
  • The WPF’s Day 2 (Nov 26) shows it drifting slowly WNW to NW, weakening into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) on Monday morning.  The confidence of this forecast is MEDIUM (35-65% chance).
  • The presence of this Tropical Cyclone will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) and bring partly cloudy to cloudy skies with some passing rain showers along the northern and eastern sections of Luzon.
  • The next StormWatch Update will be issued after 24 hours or by Sunday morning (Nov 25).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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