TROPICAL STORM HAIKUI (SALOME) UPDATE NO. 05
Issued at: 12:30 PM PhT (04:30 GMT) Friday 10 November 2017
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Friday, 10 November 2017
|Current Status and Outlook||
Tropical Storm HAIKUI (SALOME) slows down as it moves farther away from the country. Its easternmost rainbands are still affecting the western portions of Pangasinan and Zambales. This cyclone is expected to move out of the western border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) around midnight Saturday.
24-hr Outlook: TS HAIKUI (SALOME) is forecast to intensify into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it tracks northwest to west-northwestward across the South China Sea at a forward speed of 20 kph by Saturday morning (Nov 11).
*The storm’s rainbands together with its Trough and the enhanced Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) – will bring occasional light to at times moderate rain showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds along Extreme Northern and Northern Luzon today.
|Where is HAIKUI (SALOME)?||As of 11:00 AM PhT today, November 10…0300 GMT. The center was located just to the northeast of Scarborough (Panatag) Shoal or over the West Philippine Sea, (near 15.4N 118.6E), about 170 km west-southwest of Alaminos City, Pangasinan or 192 km west-southwest of San Carlos City, Pangasinan.|
|How strong is it?||
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 70 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||It was moving West-Northwest @ 22 kph, towards the West Philippine-South China Seas.|
|Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)||:: None.|
|What Philippine areas will be most affected?||Moderate to Heavy Rains (50 to 100 mm expected):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||:: None.|
|1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
SATURDAY MORNING: Outside of PAR, as it becomes an STS while moving WNW towards Southern China…about 514 km west-northwest of Alaminos City, Pangasinan [8AM Nov 11: 17.6N 115.4E @ 95kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm Info||> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 220 mm [Light to Heavy]
> Minimum Central Pressure: 994 millibars (hPa)
> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 295 km (Very Small/Midget)
> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.
|Additional Distances||Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Fri November 10, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 15.4º N Lat 118.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 214 km W of Mabalacat City, Pampanga
Distance 2: 215 km W of Angeles City, Pampanga
Distance 3: 221 km WNW of Balanga City, Bataan
Distance 4: 232 km SW of San Fernando City, La Union
Distance 5: 280 km WNW of Metro Manila
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines