TROPICAL STORM HAIKUI (SALOME) UPDATE NO. 04
Issued at: 6:15 AM PhT (22:15 GMT) Friday 10 November 2017
Next update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Friday, 10 November 2017
|Current Status and Outlook||
Tropical Storm HAIKUI (SALOME) has emerged over the West Philippine Sea with no change in strength, while moving quickly northwestward during the past six hours…expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) around midnight Saturday.
24-hr Outlook: TS HAIKUI (SALOME) is forecast to intensify as it resumes its west-northwest track across the West Philippine-South China Sea Area at a decreased forward speed of 22 kph by early Saturday morning (Nov 11).
*The storm’s rainbands together with its Trough and the enhanced Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) – will bring occasional light to at times moderate rain showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds along Western Luzon including Metro Manila, MiMaRoPa, and some parts of Northern and Central Luzon.
|Where is HAIKUI (SALOME)?||As of 5:00 AM PhT today, November 10…2100 GMT. The center was located along the west coast of Zambales or over the West Philippine Sea, (near 14.9N 119.7E), about 63 km west of Subic Bay-Olongapo City, Zambales or 99 km west-southwest of Angeles City, Pampanga.|
|How strong is it?||
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 70 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||It was moving Northwest @ 31 kph, towards the West Philippine Sea.|
|Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)||:: None.|
|What Philippine areas will be most affected?||Moderate to Heavy Rains (50 to 100 mm expected):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||:: None.|
|1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Slightly intensify as it moves out of the western border of Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on its way towards Southern China…about 440 km west-northwest of Alaminos City, Pangasinan [2AM Nov 11: 17.2N 116.0E @ 85kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm Info||> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]
> Minimum Central Pressure: 994 millibars (hPa)
> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 365 km (Very Small/Midget)
> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.
|Additional Distances||Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Fri November 10, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 14.9º N Lat 119.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 104 km W of San Fernando City, Pampanga
Distance 2: 120 km W of Malolos City, Bulacan
Distance 3: 138 km W of Meycauayan City, Bulacan
Distance 4: 142 km SSW of Alaminos City, Pangasinan
Distance 5: 151 km WNW of Metro Manila
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines