TROPICAL STORM DOKSURI (MARING) UPDATE NO. 005
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday 13 September 2017
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday, 13 September 2017
|Current Status and Outlook||
DOKSURI (MARING) has strengthened into a Tropical Storm (TS) while moving westward across the warm waters of the West Philippine Sea, away from Luzon. Its growing rainbands is affecting the coastal areas of Northern Palawan, Calamian Group of Islands and Western Zambales.
This storm is expected to accelerate, west-northwest across the West Philippine Sea for the next 24 hours and will exit the western border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) later today. DOKSURI (MARING) is likely to become a Severe Tropical Storm (TS) by early Thursday morning (Sept 14).
*TS DOKSURI (MARING) and the enhanced Southwesterly Windflow will bring on-and-off light to moderate rain showers and thunderstorms across the western sections of Central and Southern Luzon, MiMaRoPa, and Western Visayas.
|Where is DOKSURI (MARING)?||As of 5:00 AM PhT, September 13…2100 GMT. The center was located over the West Philippine Sea, just south of Scarborough Shoal (near 14.7N 117.9E), about 257 km west of Olongapo City, Zambales or 188 km west-southwest of Balanga City, Bataan.|
|How strong is it?||
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||It was moving Westward @ 18 kph, across the West Philippine Sea.|
|Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)||:: None.|
|What Philippine areas will be most affected?||Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||:: None.|
|2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Becomes a Severe Tropical Storm (TS) as it accelerates West-Northwest across the South China Sea, outside of PAR…about 629 km west of Alaminos City, Pangasinan [2AM Sept 14: 16.0N 114.1E @ 95kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Strengthens into a Category 1 Typhoon as it approaches the southern coast of Hainan Island…about 742 km southwest of Hong Kong, China [2AM Sept 15: 17.1N 109.8E @ 120kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm Info||> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 800 mm [Light to Extreme]
> Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 755 km (Medium)
> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.
|Additional Distances||Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Wed September 13, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 14.7º N Lat 117.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 293 km W of Angeles City, Pampanga
Distance 2: 299 km W of San Fernando City, Pampanga
Distance 3: 302 km WSW of Tarlac City, Tarlac
Distance 4: 320 km WSW of Urdaneta City, Pamgasinan
Distance 5: 340 km W of Metro Manila
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines