Tropical Depression JELAWAT (CALOY) StormWatch No. 03




Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Tuesday 27 March 2018
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT), Wednesday 28 March 2018
Current Status and Outlook Tropical Depression JELAWAT (CALOY) has remained disorganized as it slowed down during the past 24 hours, lingering just along the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).  This cyclone will not make landfall to any part of the Philippines and is therefore forecast to recurve away from the Philippine Sea on Friday (Mar 30).
Where is JELAWAT (CALOY)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, March 27…0900 GMT. The weak center was located along the southeastern part of the Central Philippine Sea or over the PAR line (near 10.1N 135.0E), about 310 km north of Koror, Republic of Palau or 1,041 km east of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs) North-Northeast @ 10 km/hr  towards Eastern Part of the Central Philippine Sea.
Forecast Highlights
  • The Global Typhoon Forecast Models (GTFM) still predict this system to become a weak Tropical Storm (TS) and move northward near the PAR line within the next 24 to 48 hours and shall eventually recurve towards the north-northeast thereafter. The forecast confidence is at High.
  • The Day 03 Forecast shows Jelawat (Caloy) exiting PAR in the morning of Good Friday (Mar 30) with a medium forecast confidence.
  • Based on the current forecast, TD Jelawat (Caloy) will not make landfall and won’t have any direct impact and effect over the Philippine Islands. The system will only pass-by the far-reaching waters of the Philippine Sea.
  • Meanwhile, the combination of the storm’s westernmost trough and the enhanced Northeasterlies might bring isolated to scattered rain showers and thunderstorms across the eastern coastal areas of Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region within the next couple of days.
  • This 24-hour StormWatch Update might be replaced with a 12-hrly Tropical Cyclone Updates if ever Jelawat (Caloy) changes its course.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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