Tropical Depression JELAWAT (CALOY) StormWatch No. 02

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION JELAWAT (CALOY) STORMWATCH NO. 02

Issued at: 6:45 PM PhT (10:45 GMT) Monday 26 March 2018
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT), Tuesday 27 March 2018
Current Status and Outlook Tropical Depression JELAWAT (CALOY) has maintained its strength and direction over the past 24 hours and is likely to enter the southeastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late tonight or early Tuesday morning. This cyclone remains a non-threat to the country, but its western trough might bring rain showers across the coastal areas of Eastern Visayas and Eastern Bicol.
Where is JELAWAT (CALOY)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, March 26…0900 GMT. The weak center was located near the northeastern most part of the South Philippine Sea (near 8.4N 136.1E), about 213 km northeast of Koror, Republic of Palau or 1,081 km east of Bislig City, Surigao Del Sur
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs) West-Northwest @ 23 km/hr  towards Eastern Parts of the South and Central Philippine Sea.
Forecast Highlights
  • The Global Typhoon Forecast Models (GTFM) continues to predict this system to become a Tropical Storm and enter PAR within the next 06 to 12 hours and shall turn generally northwestward to northward across the eastern parts of the South and Central Philippine Sea. The forecast confidence is currently at Medium.
  • The Day 03 Forecast shows Jelawat (Caloy) becoming a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it recurves to the north-northeast and northeast away from the Philippine Sea and shall exit PAR in the evening of Maundy Thursday (Mar 29) with a medium forecast confidence.
  • Based on the current forecast, TD Jelawat (Caloy) will still have no direct impact and effect over the Philippine Islands. The system will only pass-by the far-reaching waters of the Philippine Sea.
  • However, the storm’s western trough might bring scattered to occasional rain showers and thunderstorms across the coastal areas of Eastern Visayas and Eastern Bicol Region within the next couple of days.
  • This 24-hour StormWatch Update might be replaced with a 12-hrly Tropical Cyclone Updates if ever Jelawat (Caloy) changes its course.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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