Tropical Depression 30W (SALOME) Update No. 02

Tropical Depression 30W (SALOME) Update No. 02

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (SALOME) UPDATE NO. 02

Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Thursday 09 November 2017
Next update: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Friday, 10 November 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Depression 30W (SALOME) has slightly intensified as it moved northwestward at a forward speed of 17 kph in the past 6 hours. Its rainbands will continue to bring moderate to at times heavy rains over Metro Manila, Bicol Region, Northern Visayas, CaLaBaRZon, Northern Palawan, Mindoro, Romblon, and Marinduque, and some portions of Central Luzon.

24-hr Outlook: TD 30W (SALOME) is expected to continue moving west-northwestward at a speed of 27 kph across Southern CaLaBaRZon tonight, and shall emerge over the West Philippine Sea by tomorrow early morning (Nov 10) as a  Tropical Storm (TS).

Where is 30W (SALOME)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, November 09…0900 GMT.  The center was located over west coast of Camarines Sur (near 13.6N 122.8E), about 43 km west of Naga City, Camarines Sur or 89 km west-northwest of Ligao City, Albay.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs) It was moving Northwest @ 17 kph, towards Southern CaLaBaRZon.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) :: Southern Quezon-Laguna-Cavite-Batangas at approx. 7pm-8pm today, with a High Strike Probability of 95-100%..
What Philippine areas will be most affected? Moderate to Heavy Rains (50 to 100 mm expected):
>> Metro Manila, Bicol Region, Northern Visayas, CaLaBaRZon, Northern Palawan, Mindoro, Romblon, and Marinduque, and some portions of Central Luzon


Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ :: None.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies into a Tropical Storm (TS) as it emerges over the West Philippine Sea, away from the country…231 km west-southwest of Alaminos City, Pangasinan [2PM Nov 10: 15.6N 117.9E @ 75kph].  Confidence LevelMEDIUM.

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Exits the western border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it intensifies into a Typhoon (TY) while over the West Philippine Sea…about 567 km south of Hong Kong, China [2PM Nov 11: 17.3N 114.1E @ 130kph].  Confidence LevelLOW.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies into a Typhoon (TY) as it threatens Hainan, Southern China, outside of Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)…about 538 km south-southwest of Hong Kong, China [2PM Nov 12: 17.9N 112.2E @ 120kph].  Confidence LevelLOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 250 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 730 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional Distances Time/Date: 05:00 PM PhT Thu November 09, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 13.6º N Lat 122.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 114 km WNW of Legazpi City, Albay
Distance 2: 133 km ESE of Tayabas City, Quezon
Distance 3: 160 km NNW of Masbate City, Masbate
Distance 4: 179 km E of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro
Distance 5: 217 km ESE of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: John Christian B. Lequiron for WeatherPhilippines

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