TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (SALOME) UPDATE NO. 01
Issued at: 12:30 PM PhT (04:30 GMT) Thursday 09 November 2017
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Thursday, 09 November 2017
|Current Status and Outlook||
Tropical Depression 30W (SALOME) upgraded from Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 99W, has accelerated west-northwestward and is now along the Sorsogon-Albay Border. Its growing rainbands spreading across Bicol Region, Eastern and Northern Visayas, CaLaBaRZon including Mindoro, Romblon, and Marinduque, Metro Manila and some portions of Central Luzon.
24-hr Outlook: TD 30W (SALOME) is expected to continue moving west-northwestward across Burias Island, Marinduque, and Northern Mindoro today, and shall emerge over the West Philippine Sea by tomorrow morning (Nov 10). 30W will eventually become a Tropical Storm (TS).
|Where is 30W (SALOME)?||As of 11:00 AM PhT today, November 09…0300 GMT. The center was located over Southern Bicol or along the Sorsogon-Albay Border (near 13.0N 123.5E), about 19 km south of Ligao City, Albay or 56 km west of Sorsogon City, Sorsogon.|
|How strong is it?||
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||It was moving West-Northwest @ 35 kph, towards Burias Is.-Marinduque-Northern Mindoro Area.|
|Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)||:: None.|
|What Philippine areas will be most affected?||Moderate to Heavy Rains (50 to 100 mm expected):
>> Bicol Region, CaLaBaRZon, Mindoro, Romblon, Marinduque, Metro Manila, and some portions of Central Luzon.
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||:: None.|
|3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
FRIDAY MORNING: Rapidly strengthens into a Tropical Storm (TS) as it emerges over the West Philippine Sea, away from the country…about 185 km west-southwest of Olongapo City, Zambales [8AM Nov 10: 14.0N 118.8E @ 75kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SATURDAY MORNING: Exits the western border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it intensifies into a Typhoon (TY) while over the South China Sea…about 589 km west of Alaminos City, Pangasinan [8AM Nov 11: 15.7N 114.5E @ 130kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SUNDAY MORNING: Slows down as it approaches Hainan Island, Southern China, weakens slightly…about 668 km south-southwest of Hong Kong, China [8AM Nov 12: 16.8N 111.8E @ 120kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm Info||> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 250 mm [Light to Heavy]
> Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 520 km (Small)
> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.
|Additional Distances||Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Thu November 09, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 13.0º N Lat 123.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 39 km SSW of Tabaco City, Albay
Distance 2: 77 km SSE of Naga City, Camarines Sur
Distance 3: 181 km NNE of Roxas City, Capiz
Distance 4: 224 km NNE of Paasi City, Iloilo
Distance 5: 316 km ESE of Metro Manila
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines