Typhoon NOCK-TEN (NINA) Final Update




Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Tuesday 27 December 2016
Current Status and Outlook Typhoon NOCK-TEN (NINA) has maintained its strength during the past 12 hours as it continues to move west-northwest over the northern part of the West Philippine Sea.

This typhoon is expected to turn west-southwest to southwestward within the next 24 hours with decreased forward speed of 12 km/hr. It is likely to move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late this evening or early tomorrow morning (Dec 28).

With this development, this is the final update for Nock-ten (Nida) from WeatherPhilippines.

Where is “NOCK-TEN” (NINA)? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, December 27…2100 GMT.  The center was located over the west-northern part of the West Philippine Sea (near 15.0N 116.8E), about 380 km west of Subic Bay, Zambales or 343 km west of Iba, Zambales.
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 120 kph near the center…Gustiness: 150 kph
Where is it heading? It was moving West-Northwest @ 22 kphtowards the West Philippine Sea.
Potential Landfall Area(s) None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?* None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ None.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary** WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Storm (TS) and changes its course to southwest as it moves out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)…about 614 km west of Subic Bay, Zambales [2AM DEC 28: 13.9N 114.7E @ 75kph]Confidence Level:  MEDIUM.

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Moves down further southwestward over the southern portion of the South China Sea as it dissipates into a mere area of low pressure…about 297 km east of Nha Trang City, Vietnam [2AM DEC 29: 11.9N 111.9E @ 35kph].  Confidence Level:  LOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively…while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 300 mm [Moderate to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 450 km (Small)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional Distances Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue Dec 27, 2016
Location of Center/Eye: Near 15.0º N Lat 116.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 504 km WNW of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro
Distance 2: 444 km W of Trece Martires City, Cavite
Distance 3: 459 km WNW of Tagaytay City, Cavite
Distance 4: 490 km NW of Coron, Palawan
Distance 5: 457 km W of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for WeatherPhilippines


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