Severe Tropical Storm SAOLA (QUEDAN) Final Update





Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Saturday 28 October 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Severe Tropical Storm SAOLA (QUEDAN) intensifying as it approaches Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands…exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

24-hr Outlook: STS SAOLA (QUEDAN) is expected to become a Typhoon (TY) later today and shall start to recurve north-northeastward at an accelerated forward speed of 28 kph towards the offshore areas of Southern Japan.  This storm will pass very close to Okinawa, Japan on or before noon today. 

*This is the final tropical cyclone update on SAOLA (QUEDAN).

Where is SAOLA (QUEDAN)? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, October 28…2100 GMT.  The center was located over the northern boundary of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) or over the southernmost part of the East China Sea (near 25.0N 128.1E), about 167 km south of Okinawa, Japan or 803 km northeast of Basco, Batanes.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 100 kph near the center…Gustiness: 130 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs) It was moving North @ 22 kph, towards Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands Area.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) :: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected? Moderate to Heavy Rains (50 to 100 mm expected):
>> None.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ :: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Approaching the offshore islands of Southern Kyushu (Japan), maintaining its typhoon status while moving quickly east-northeastward…about 180 km south of Kagoshima, Japan [2AM Oct 29: 30.0N 130.2E @ 120kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 230 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 982 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 980 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 125 km from the center

Additional Distances Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat October 28, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 25.0º N Lat 128.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 658 km E of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 2: 757 km E of Taichung, Taiwan
Distance 3: 891 km E of Fuzhou, China
Distance 4: 949 km SE of Shanghai, China
Distance 5: 1373 km NNE of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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