Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 92W StormWatch No. 01

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 92W StormWatch No. 01

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TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) 92W STORMWATCH #001

Issued at: 7:30 PM PhT (11:30 GMT) Thursday 13 April 2017
Next update: Friday Evening,  14 April 2017
Current Status and Outlook The Tropical Disturbance (LPA) which was lingering in the vicinity of Palau, has entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). This LPA is now showing signs of developing into a Tropical Depression within the next 06 to 24 hours…may threaten Visayas and Bicol Region this weekend (Black Saturday through Easter Sunday). 
Where is LPA 92W? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, April 13…0900 GMT.  The center was located along the northeastern part of the South Philippine Sea (near 9.4N 133.1E), about 834 km east-southeast of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte or 280 km north-northwest of Koror, Republic of Palau. 
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 30 kph near the center…Gustiness: 40 kph
Where is it heading? It was moving West-northwest slowly, towards Eastern Visayas.
Forecast Highlights
  • The Global Typhoon Models (GTM) are showing that LPA 92W is likely to become a Tropical Cyclone (with a classification of either a Tropical Depression (TD) or Tropical Storm (TS) before reaching Eastern Visayas this weekend.
  • The latest Day 2-3 Forecast shows the LPA traversing Visayas or Southern Bicol beginning late Saturday afternoon through Sunday (Apr 15-16).  Please be advised that this forecast is at LOW CONFIDENCE, and changes on the forecast track can still happen.
  • Once this LPA becomes a Tropical Cyclone, it is likely to be named locally as “Crising” based on PAGASA’s name list.
  • This LPA is still far to directly affect any part of the Philippines within the next 24 hours.
  • This StormWatch will be upgraded to Storm Update once this LPA becomes a Tropical Cyclone.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

 

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