Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 01W [AMANG] StormWatch No. 03

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TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) 01W [AMANG] STORMWATCH NO. 03

Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Monday 21 January 2019
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT), Tuesday 22 January 2019
Current Status and Outlook Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 01W [AMANG] has moved somewhat northward and is just along the southeastern coast of Eastern Samar (just north of the Town of Guiuan).  The system’s thick rainbands has been elongated and dislodged north of its center, just affecting Eastern Visayas and the eastern coastal areas of Bicol Peninsula. Through the next 24 hrs, the LPA is expected to be pushed by the strong surge of the Northeast Monsoonal Flow (Amihan) and dissipate along Central Visayas. 

The combination of the LPA’s rainbands and the enhanced Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) will bring moderate to heavy to at times extreme rainfall along Eastern Visayas and the eastern coastal areas of Bicol Region. These rains may produce flooding and landslides along hazard-risk areas. Please take all necessary precautions.

Where is LPA 01W (AMANG)? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, January 21…2100 GMT. The center was located along the southeastern coast of Eastern Samar [near 11.2°N 125.7°E], about 06 km northeast of Salcedo, Eastern Samar or 18 km north of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center…Gustiness: 50 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs) North-Northwest Slowly, towards the Southeastern Coast of Eastern Samar.
Forecast Highlights
  • This LPA is likely to dissipate over land, along Central Visayas within the next 24 hours.
  • The WPF’s 24-hr Forecast (Jan 22) shows its low-level center being pushed by the cold surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) towards the southwest and dissipating over land, along Central Visayas Area The confidence of this forecast is at LOW (<35% chance).
  • The LPA together with the enhanced Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) will generate moderate to heavy to at times extreme rainfall across Eastern Visayas (30 to >100 mm) and along the eastern coastal areas of Bicol Region (30 to 50 mm) today. These rains may cause flash floods, landslides, mudslides along the hazard-prone areas of the affected areas. Please take all necessary precautions
  • The next WPF StormWatch Update will be issued after 24 hours.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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