Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 94W StormWatch No. 01

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TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) 94W STORMWATCH NO. 01

Issued at: 5:45 PM PhT (09:45 GMT) Thursday 20 June 2019
Next update: 5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT), Friday 21 June 2019
Current Status and Outlook After months without any Tropical Cyclone Development, a new Tropical Disturbance (LPA) tagged as “94W” has the potential of becoming a Tropical Cyclone, reaching Tropical Depression (TD) classification within the next 2 to 4 days.  Global Typhoon Models already show this system moving into the Philippine Sea by next week, and could become a Typhoon.  Watch out for more updates in days to come as we continue to monitor this weather system.

This LPA is still far to directly affect any part of the country. However, there is a strong possibility that it may enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring occasional rains and thunderstorms across the western sections of the country sometime next week.

Where is LPA 94W? As of 2:00 PM PhT today, June 20…0600 GMT. The center was located the south part of Western Micronesia [near 6.3°N 139.0°E], about 518 km east-southeast of Koror, Palau or 1,423 km east of Mati City, Davao Oriental
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Quasi-Stationary near the Western Micronesia-Palau Area.
Forecast Highlights
  • This LPA is forecast to become a Tropical Depression (TD) within the next 2 to 4 days, and is expected to enter the PAR by early Sunday morning (Jun 23).
  • The Day 6 to 7 Forecast (Jun 26-27) shows LPA 94W becoming a Typhoon over the North Philippine Sea, as it starts to recurve towards north in the general direction of the Southern Islands of Japan. Forecast confidence is at LOW (<35% chance).
  • The presence of this potential Tropical Cyclone may enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and could bring occasional rains, some gusty winds and thunderstorms across the western sections of the country particularly Western Luzon including Metro Manila sometime during the middle of next week. Please be advised that severe thunderstorms may also occur across these areas which could cause flash floods and landslides. Precautionary measures must be implemented during the approach of these weather systems.
  • It will be named locally by PAGASA as “DODONG” once it enters the PAR and becomes a Tropical Cyclone.
  • The next StormWatch Update will be issued after 24 hours.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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