Typhoon KAMMURI (TISOY) Update No. 14





Issued at: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Wednesday, 04 December 2019
Next update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Wednesday, 04 December 2019
Current Status and Outlook

Typhoon KAMMURI (TISOY) has weakened further after crossing Mindoro…now emerging over the West Philippine Sea.

24-hr Outlook: TY KAMMURI (TISOY) is forecast to weaken considerably for the next 24 hours as it turns west-northwestward at an increased forward speed of 21 km/hr across the West Philippine Sea.

Where is KAMMURI (TISOY)? As of 11:00 PM PhT last night, December 03…1500 GMT. The decaying center was located over Luzon Sea (near 13.2°N 119.6°E), about 93 km southwest of Burias Island or 170 km west of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 140 kph near the center…Gustiness: 170 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs) West @ 18 kph, towards West Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) :: None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 mm to >100 mm expected):

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ :: Coastal Areas of Weatern Oriental Mindoro including Lubang Island- Tonight.

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

WEDNESDAY EVENING: Continues to weaken over the West Philippine Sea…Just a minimal Typhoon as it is about to leave the western vore [8PM Dec 04: 14.9°N 116.0°E @ 130kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 855 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 140 km from the center

Additional Information Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Tue December 03, 2019
Location of Center/Eye: Near 13.2°N Lat 119.6°E Lon
Distance 1: 142 km NNW of Coron, Palawan
Distance 2: 182 km SW of Trece Martires City, Cavite
Distance 3: 191 km SSW of Balanga City, Bataan
Distance 4: 197 km SSW of Olongapo City, Zambales
Distance 5: 219 km SW of Metro Manila
24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 14.9°N 116.0°E (TY)

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

Image Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals.jpg)

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