Typhoon KAMMURI (TISOY) Update No. 13





Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Tuesday, 03 December 2019
Next update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Tuesday, 03 December 2019
Current Status and Outlook

Typhoon KAMMURI (TISOY) has accelerated westward and weakened slightly after traversing the Bicol Region during the past 6 hours…now making landfall over the Southern tip of Bondoc Peninsula as it remains a large tropical cyclone. Its broad eyewall is now pounding Burias Island, Marinduque, and Southern Quezon.

24-hr Outlook: TY KAMMURI (TISOY) is forecast to weaken considerably for the next 24 hours as it turns west-northwestward at a decreased forward speed of 20 km/hr and will pass over or very close to Marinduque this morning. It shall make another landfall over Oriental Mindoro later this noon or early afternoon and emerge over the West Philippine Sea by early Wednesday morning. .

Where is KAMMURI (TISOY)? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, December 03…2100 GMT. The cloud-filled eye was located in the vicinity of  Pagsangahan, Quezon (near 13.1°N 122.7°E), about 26 km east of San Andres, Burias Island or 75 km northeast of Romblon, Romblon.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 180 kph near the center…Gustiness: 225 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs) West @ 25 kph, towards Northeastern Mindoro.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) :: Landfall 4 – Over Northern Oriental, between 1 to 2 PM local time Today – with High Strike Probability of 90%.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 mm to >100 mm expected):
>>CaLaBaRZon, Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon – Today.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> Bondoc Peninsula, Mindoro, Some areas of CALABARZON, Romblon, Marinduque, Ticao and Burias Islands – Today

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ :: Coastal Areas of Quezon, Oriental Mindoro, Batangas – Tonight.

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Emerges over the Luzon Sea while moving WNW-ward, weakens into a Category 1 Typhoon…about 182 km SW of Olongapo City, Zambales [2AM Dec 04: 13.9°N 118.9°E @ 140kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH..

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 953 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 830 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 150 km from the center

Additional Information Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue December 03, 2019
Location of Center/Eye: Near 13.1°N Lat 122.7°E Lon
Distance 1: 79 km SW of Naga City, Camarines Sur
Distance 2: 82 km S of Ragay, Camarines Sur
Distance 3: 85 km WSW of Iriga City, Camarines Sur
Distance 4: 86 km W of Ligao City, Albay
Distance 5: 241 km SE of Metro Manila
24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 13.9°N 118.9°E (TY)

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

Image Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals.jpg)

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