TYPHOON MITAG (ONYOK) UPDATE NO. 07 [FINAL]
Issued at: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Tuesday, 01 October 2019
|Current Status and Outlook||
Typhoon MITAG (ONYOK) has moved out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late last night…now over the East China Sea as it gained more strength while heading north towards the offshore areas of Eastern China.
*This is the Final Update on this Tropical Cyclone.
24-hr Outlook: TY MITAG (ONYOK) is forecast to maintain its northward movement with a decreased speed of 20 km/hr, passing along the offshore areas of Zhejiang Province, China today. It will pass just east of Shanghai, China early tomorrow (Wed) morning as it starts to recurve north-northeast towards South Korea.
Meanwhile, the Trough of TY MITAG (ONYOK) will continue to bring cloudy skies with isolated to scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with squalls (sudden gust of winds) across Batanes and Babuyan Group of Islands today.
|Where is MITAG (ONYOK)?||As of 5:00 AM PhT today, October 01…2100 GMT. The cloud-filled eye was located over the Southwestern part of the East China Sea (near 27.0°N 122.5°E), about 238 km north-northeast of Taipei, Taiwan or 694 km north of Itbayat, Batanes.|
|How strong is it?||
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 155 kph near the center…Gustiness: 190 kph.
|Past Movement (06 hrs)||North @ 22 kph, towards the Offshore Areas of Eastern China.|
|Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)||:: None.|
|What Philippine areas will be directly affected?||Moderate to Heavy Rains (24-hr. Accumulation of 50 to 100 mm expected):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+||:: None.
+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details.
|1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**||
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Passing along the offshore areas of Eastern China (outside of PAR) as it loses strength and starts to recurve NNE towards South Korea…about 148 km ESE of Shanghai, China [2AM Oct 02: 30.7°N 122.9°E @ 130kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hour per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
|Other Storm Info||> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 320 mm [Light to Extreme]
> Minimum Central Pressure: 962 millibars (hPa)
> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 700 km (Medium)
> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 140 km from the center
|Additional Information||Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue October 01, 2019
Location of Center/Eye: Near 27.0°N Lat 122.5°E Lon
Distance 1: 366 km NNE of Taichung, Taiwan
Distance 2: 481 km SSE of Shanghai, China
Distance 3: 523 km ENE of Xiamen, China
Distance 4: 859 km N of Calayan Island, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1390 km N of Metro Manila
24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 30.7°N 122.9°E (TY)
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines