Typhoon MITAG (ONYOK) Update No. 06





Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Monday, 30 September 2019
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Tuesday, 01 October 2019
Current Status and Outlook

Typhoon MITAG (ONYOK) has jogged northward during the past 6 hours while intensifying further over the East Taiwan Sea. The shift in its track has slightly spared Northeastern Taiwan on a direct hit and will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late tonight. Meanwhile, its southern rainbands are still spreading across Batanes and Babuyan Island Group.

24-hr Outlook: TY MITAG (ONYOK) is forecast to maintain its strength and northward track with a forward speed of 26 km/hr throughout the one day outlook.  It will be passing along the offshore areas of Northeastern Taiwan this evening, and could be over the offshore areas of Zhejiang Province, China by tomorrow (Tue) afternoon.  

The Trough of TY MITAG (ONYOK) will continue to bring cloudy skies with isolated to scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with squalls (sudden gust of winds) across Northern and Central Luzon this evening.

Where is MITAG (ONYOK)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, September 30…0900 GMT. The cloud-filled eye was located over the midwestern part of the East Taiwan Sea (near 23.6°N 122.8°E), about 196 km east-northeast of Taitung, Taiwan or 328 km north-northeast of Itbayat, Batanes.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 130 kph near the center…Gustiness: 155 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs) North @ 26 kph, towards the Offshore Areas of Northeastern Taiwan & Eastern China.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) :: None. 
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Moderate to Heavy Rains (24-hr. Accumulation of 50 to 100 mm expected):
>> None.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ :: None.

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Over the offshore areas of Zhejiang Province, China (outside of PAR) as it maintains its strength and movement…about 308 km S of Shanghai, China [2PM Oct 01: 28.5°N 122.0°E @ 130kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hour per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 970 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1,175 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 145 km from the center

Additional Information Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon September 30, 2019
Location of Center/Eye: Near 23.6°N Lat 122.8°E Lon
Distance 1: 225 km ESE of Taichung, Taiwan
Distance 2: 442 km ESE of Quanzhou, China
Distance 3: 488 km E of Xiamen, China
Distance 4: 573 km N of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1020 km N of Metro Manila
24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 28.5°N 122.0°E (TY)

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines


TCWS by: DOST-PAGASA (http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)

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