Typhoon LINGLING (LIWAYWAY) Update No. 07





Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Thursday, 05 September 2019
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Thursday, 05 September 2019
Current Status and Outlook

Typhoon LINGLING (LIWAYWAY) moving closer to Miyakojima as it continues to move north slowly and intensify…expected to move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon.

24-hr Outlook: TY LINGLING (LIWAYWAY) is forecast to continue moving northward across the East China Sea with an accelerated forward speed of 14 km/hr. It will further intensify reaching wind speeds of about 180 km/hr on Friday early morning (Sept 06).

This typhoon will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring cloudy skies with passing scattered to at times widespread rain showers and thunderstorms with squalls (sudden gust of winds) across Extreme Northern Luzon, and the Western Sections of Northern Luzon particularly Ilocos Region, Cordillera Autonomous Region (CAR) and the Batanes & Babuyan Island Group today.

Where is LINGLING (LIWAYWAY)? As of 5:00 AM PhT today, September 05…2100 GMT. The eye was located over the easternmost part of the East Taiwan Sea (near 23.7°N 125.4°E), about 502 km northeast of Basco, Batanes or 416 km east-southeast of Taipei, Taiwan.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 155 kph near the center…Gustiness: 190 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs) North @ 07 kph, towards Miyakojima.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) :: None. 
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 mm to more than 100 mm expected):
>> None.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ :: None.

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Over the East China Sea (outside of PAR) as it intensifies to a Category 3 Typhoon, moving Northward…about 395 km ENE of Taipei, Taiwan [2AM Sept 06: 26.4°N 125.2°E @ 180kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH.

SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Starts to weaken while accelerating NNW across the northern portion of the East China Sea…about 298 km E of Shanghai, China [2AM Sept 07: 31.4°N 124.6°E @ 155kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 530 km (Small)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 135 km from the center.

Additional Information Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Thu September 05, 2019
Location of Center/Eye: Near 23.7°N Lat 125.4°E Lon
Distance 1: 483 km E of Taichung, Taiwan
Distance 2: 633 km NE of Calayan Island, Cagayan
Distance 3: 671 km NNE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 694 km E of Quanzhou, China
Distance 5: 1112 km NNE of Metro Manila
24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 26.4°N 125.2°E (TY)
48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 31.4°N 124.6°E (TY)

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

©2019 WeatherPhilippines Foundation


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