Typhoon LINGLING (LIWAYWAY) Update No. 06





Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Wednesday, 04 September 2019
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Thursday, 05 September 2019
Current Status and Outlook

Typhoon LINGLING (LIWAYWAY) has slightly accelerated northeastward during the past 6 hours as it slowly intensified…expected to pass over or very close to Miyakojima before moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Thursday afternoon.

24-hr Outlook: TY LINGLING (LIWAYWAY) is forecast to turn northward across the eastern part of the East Taiwan Sea with a slow forward speed of 11 km/hr and will continue gaining strength, reaching wind speeds of about 165 km/hr on Thursday afternoon (Sept 05).

This storm will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring cloudy skies with passing scattered to at times widespread rain showers and thunderstorms with squalls (sudden gust of winds) across Extreme Northern Luzon, and the Western Sections of Northern Luzon particularly Ilocos Provinces and the Batanes-Babuyan Island Group tonight and tomorrow.

Where is LINGLING (LIWAYWAY)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, September 04…0900 GMT. The eye was located over the southeasternmost part of the East Taiwan Sea (near 22.7°N 125.4°E), about 425 km east-northeast of Itbayat, Batanes or 578 km northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 130 kph near the center…Gustiness: 155 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs) Northeast @ 15 kph, towards Miyakojima.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) :: None. 
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 mm to more than 100 mm expected):
>> None.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ :: None.

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies to a Category 2 Typhoon as it passes in the vicinity of Miyakojima, turns back to a Northward track as it is about to exit the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)…about 398 km E of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM Sept 05: 24.8°N 125.5°E @ 165kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH.

FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Still intensifying, becomes a Category 3 Typhoon as it accelerates Northward across the East China Sea, outside of PAR…about 457 km SE of Shanghai, China [2PM Sept 06: 28.8°N 125.3°E @ 170kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 520 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 970 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 585 km (Small)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 55 km from the center.

Additional Information Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed September 04, 2019
Location of Center/Eye: Near 22.7°N Lat 125.4°E Lon
Distance 1: 440 km E of Taitung, Taiwan
Distance 2: 508 km ESE of Taichung, Taiwan
Distance 3: 554 km NE of Calayan Island, Cagayan
Distance 4: 622 km NE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1012 km NNE of Metro Manila
24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 24.8°N 125.5°E (TY)
48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 28.8°N 125.3°E (TY)

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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