Tropical Storm LINGLING (LIWAYWAY) Update No. 02





Issued at: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Monday, 02 September 2019
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Tuesday, 03 September 2019
Current Status and Outlook

LIWAYWAY has slowed down as it becomes a Tropical Storm (TS). This storm is now known globally as LINGLING – a Hong Kong word for young girls.  Its Western rainbands are now spreading across Extreme Northern Luzon particularly Cagayan and Babuyan Group of Islands.

24-hr Outlook: TS LINGLING (LIWAYWAY) is forecast to continue moving north-northwest to northward across the eastern portions of Balintang and Bashi Channels with a forward speed of 19 km/hr and will continue gaining strength through Tuesday afternoon (Sept 03).

This storm will enhance the Southwesterly Surface Windflow (Weak Habagat) and could bring scattered to occasional rains and thunderstorms with squalls (sudden gust of winds) across Western Luzon including Metro Manila, MiMaRoPa, Sulu Archipelago, and Western Visayas today and tomorrow.

Where is LINGLING (LIWAYWAY)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, September 02…0900 GMT. The center was located over the northwesternmost part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 17.3°N 124.8°E), about 257 km east of Palanan, Isabela or 309 km east-southeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs) North-Northwest @ 21 kph, towards the Eastern Parts of the Balintang & Bashi Channels.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) :: None. 
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 mm to more than 100 mm expected):
>> Batanes & Babuyan Group of Islands, and Northern Cagayan – Today.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ :: None.

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies further while moving Northward over the eastern part of the Bashi Channel…about 189 km E of Bascatanes [2PM Sept 03: 20.7°N 123.8°E @ 85kph].  Confidence Level: LOW.

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Becomes a minimal Typhoon (Category 1) as it turns northeastward slowly across the East Taiwan Sea…about 420 km E of Taitung, Taiwan [2PM Sept 04: 23.1°N 125.2°E @ 120kph].  Confidence Level: LOW.

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Exits the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) after passing very close to Miyakojima while moving northward, continues to intensify…about 438 km E of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM Sept 05: 25.4°N 125.9°E @ 130kph].  Confidence LevelLOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 250 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 835 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional Information Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon September 02, 2019
Location of Center/Eye: Near 17.3°N Lat 124.8°E Lon
Distance 1: 315 km ENE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 2: 328 km E of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Distance 3: 354 km ESE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 4: 357 km E of Tabuk City, Kalinga
Distance 5: 502 km NE of Metro Manila
24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 20.7°N 123.8°E (TS)
48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 23.1°N 125.2°E (TY)
72 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 25.4°N 125.9°E (TY)

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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